Fleets optimistic about prospects for growth in the next three years, research shows
Despite uncertain conditions, a net 20% of businesses believe that the
number of vehicles they operate will grow in the next three years, according to
new research by Arval.
The figure, which shows those companies predicting an increase minus those who
foresee a decrease, is virtually identical to last year when a net 21% of
fleets said that they were optimistic about growth prospects.
The findings come from the 2018 edition of Arval’s long-established Corporate
Vehicle Observatory Barometer, research which covers 3,718 fleet decision
However, smaller and larger fleets appear to have switched position in the last
12 months when it comes to which believes that growth is more likely.
In 2017, a net 38% of fleets with more than 50 vehicles predicted growth versus
a net 13% of those with fewer than 10. Today, those numbers have evened out to
20% and 23% respectively.
Medium sized fleets, those with 10-49 vehicles, were less optimistic, with a
net 11% foreseeing greater numbers on their fleet in 2018 compared to 24% a
Shaun Sadlier, head of Arval’s Corporate Vehicle Observatory in the UK, said:
“The headline figure shows that fleets as a whole remain quite positive in
their outlook. However, beneath that number, there is quite a lot going on.
“Certainly, optimism among medium and large fleets is reduced, which is
probably a product of the uncertainty that results from low economic growth and
the ongoing Brexit negotiations, alongside vehicle-specific issues like
rhetoric around diesel and [introduction of] the Worldwide harmonised Light
vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP), all of which continue to represent a major
unknown. At the same time, smaller fleets are very upbeat.”
Interestingly, the figures recorded for the UK show a higher level of optimism
than the dozen other European countries included in the Corporate Vehicle
Mr Sadlier said: “Overall, 13% of companies in the other European countries
that take part in our research are predicting fleet growth, compared to the
UK’s 20%, although their medium and larger sized fleets outstrip the UK for